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July 25, 2006

CONCACAF at the World Cup: Reviewing Mexico and USA

Concluding this series reviewing CONCACAF's performance at the World Cup finals, I discuss the performance of Mexico and the United States.

MEXICO

Coming into this tournament, Mexico's supporters set very high expectations for them - way too high, in my estimation.  While Mexico have a number of talented players, and should not be underestimated at international level (as recent performances in Confederations Cups indicate), they only won their first World Cup match in Europe in 1998 (against South Korea), and have struggled against top European and South American sides.  The final result was the same as in 2002, a better performance in the second round than last time, but the same frustrating exit.

I saw Mexico's overall performance in Germany as very uneven.  I had always thought that Iran would prove a tougher challenge to Mexico than a lot of the Mexican press, supporters, or even players.  In the end Mexico's experience took advantage of Iran's lack of nerve in the back to earn the three points, but you can guarantee that there were some frayed nerves in Nuremberg and Mexico (and some parts of the USA).  The Angola match was Mexico's worst of the tournament.  Joao Ricardo had a brilliant match for the Angolans, but I was shocked by Mexico's lack of ideas in the final third.  Mexico started poorly and nervously against Portugal, and paid for it in the first 20 minutes, but fought back into the match.  In the end Iran's late goal ensured Mexico's passage into the second round, against Argentina.

That match against Argentina was the best of the second round, and one of the best of the tournament.  Mexico were much more brave than they had been during the tournament, and they gave as well as they got from Argentina.  Part of the reason could be that Mexico was for the first time playing an out-and-out Latin team (Portugal still retains a Latin style, but with a European flavor thanks to Scolari), and the tempo of play suited Mexico's style.  In the end, it took a moment of individual brilliance to decide such an evenly-poised match.  One wonders what might have happened had Pardo and Guardado been able to complete the match.

So in the end another win for Mexico in a European World Cup (and as things turned out, the only CONCACAF win), but out of the final eight once again.  Despite the impression in the Mexican press of yet another 'failure', a number of players made good accounts of themselves, such as Márquez, Pardo, Guardado, and Osorio, among others.  As a matter of fact, Pardo and Osorio will play for Bundesliga side Stuttgart next season.  And with the U-17 stars Giovanni dos Santos and Carlos Vela playing for Barcelona and Arsenal, respectively, Mexico looks set to not just maintain (or regain, depending on what part of the Rio Grande you live on) CONCACAF supremacy, and make a greater impact on the world stage.

USA

Next to Costa Rica, the USA had the most disappointing World Cup of the CONCACAF participants.  After their fantastic performance at the Far East finals, where they beat a contender and a bitter rival and narrowly lost to the runner-up, expectations were much higher for team that many thought were stronger than the 2002 squad.  The hype machine was getting out of control when people like Eric Wynalda, an analyst who I have grown to like and thought would know better, said that he felt the USA had a good shot to make the semifinals if things went their way.  There were even sillier things said by the mainstream press, which knows even less about soccer and can only be bothered to think about it every four years (and almost always with that oh-so-clever fútbol spelling).   The USA's group was always the true Group of Death, and even advancing from the group would require the team playing at their full potential.  And then there awaited a likely matchup against Brazil.  As things turned out, the USA were up against it almost since the opening whistle, and despite fighting hard, never looked like a side playing at their peak abilities.

Parallels were sought between these finals and Italy 1990, when the USA played Czechoslovakia and Italy.   There really weren't any parallels to speak of -- for one, today's USA squad is fully professional -- but it did provide an opportunity to demonstrate how far the national team had progressed.  In that respect, the 0-3 result against the Czech Republic was a brutal result.  That match was perhaps the most comprehensive defeat of the USA during Bruce Arena's tenure, and it laid bare the deficiencies of the side that need to be addressed in order to crack into world soccer's elite.  From my standpoint, the team was disjointed in attack, gave away possession too easily, and not brave enough.  There were a number of players who were expected to make an impact on the game who never did so, most notably Donovan and Beasley.  And when you had a situation where Reyna had to drop further back into the defense in order to win the ball and start offensive thrusts, it was clear that confidence in the remaining midfielders was being lost.  I'm sure that many casual soccer fans in the US saw that match and said, "This team is supposed to be ranked #5 and played like that??"

If the match against Czech Republic was the low point of the USA's World Cup adventure, the match against Italy was its height.  That match was the most intense match involving the US team that I had witnessed - it took me several hours to get over the emotional high from that game.  The USA played much better in midfield than they did against the Czechs, and they more than held their own against a star-studded Italian midfield.  A well-taken free kick from Pirlo opened the advantage, but US pressure and Italian generosity brought the scores level.  De Rossi's ejection gave the Americans a vital opportunity, but they failed to gauge their tackles under the eyes of an overly strict referee.  I have less argument with Pope's second yellow than Mastroeni's red, but both involved plays far from the penalty area and in the end both players had themselves to blame.  The remainder of the match was a physical battle as the USA fought for its point.  The intensity of this match was reflected not just on the field but in the stands - that was perhaps the most intensely pro-US crowd that I had seen in any match, Stateside or otherwise.   

In the match against Ghana, frustration reigned once more.  Arena once more chose to play a lone striker up front, ostensibly to give midfield players like Donovan more room to venture upfield.  Well, Donovan failed to move upfield and the result was an offensive buildup built on long balls that fizzled out in the attacking end.  And the opening Ghana goal occurred at the result of an uncharacteristic blunder by the hardest-working American player at the finals - Reyna.   Would that play have been different had Mastroeni been back there?  Perhaps.  It took almost twenty minutes for the USA to claw back to level terms with an equally uncharacteristic move forward by Beasley and a clinical finish by Dempsey, who was the one American player other than Reyna not afraid to take the game to his opponents.   That goal shifted the momentum of the game, and with Italy defeating the Czechs, the Americans looked poised to take the lead.  Until the phantom penalty on Onyewu during stoppage time.  There was simply no way that there was a penalty on that play, but nevertheless the call was made and up stepped Appiah to make the match 2-1.   The USA did try hard to get back into the game - McBride will think of that ball hitting the post for many years to come - but a draw was no more than what they deserved, and a draw was insufficient on the day. 

On the whole, the USA's World Cup experience was ultimately about frustration.  The team played a different style in the finals than they did in the qualifiers.  For one, they were forced to do so by the higher quality of their Group E opponents.  For another, the 4-5-1 formation was not the best formation for the squad that was picked.  Perhaps a striker like Twellman would have been a better selection than someone like Johnson.  Ching might have been a better strike partner for McBride, but he never appeared in the finals.  More needs to be said about the anonymous performance of Landon Donovan in these finals.  In the buildup to Germany, he was expected to take the initiative and take the leadership mantle from Reyna.  In Germany, he never showed up, never took the initiative to put his stamp on the game, and relegated himself to an invisible presence in midfield.  Maybe Jen Chang of ESPN was right when he said that Donovan is not worthy of the hype, and it irritates me to no end to see someone throw away his talent.

And now, a final word about Bruce Arena.  It's too bad that I wasn't able to finish this review before the announcement that Arena would leave the national team at the end of his contract.  The move wasn't unexpected; eight years is a long time to be a national team manager, especially in today's football.  Bruce Arena has been the best national team coach that the USA has ever had, and has taken them to unprecedented levels in world soccer.  However, it became clear during the World Cup that there remains a gap between the USA's current state and the world elite, and a coaching change might be necessary to breach that gap.  This isn't a knock on Arena - closing this gap will require big leaps in talent selection and development in US soccer, as well as improvements in the quality of coaching and refereeing.  A simple change of coaches is not sufficient to make US men's soccer a legitimate contender.  Deeper reforms along the entire system are required, and as Arena said when he assumed the post of the NY Red Bulls, it will be at least a ten-year project.  The USSF has time to take the first step of this project.  One hopes that they choose carefully and wisely.

July 11, 2006

CONCACAF at the World Cup: Reviewing T&T and Costa Rica

It's been a while since my last post, so time to continue this post-World Cup review with a look at Trinidad & Tobago and Costa Rica.

TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO

Despite their final record in Group B, T&T is the one team in CONCACAF that can feel reasonably pleased with their performance.   As one of the debutants, and as the smallest nation to have ever qualified for the World Cup finals, no one was expecting the Caribbeans to get out of their group.  I would have loved to have seen this team in the 1998 finals, when Yorke, Latapy, and Stern John were at their peak,  but they had not acquired the discipline and leadership skills necessary to make their national side successful.  Those skills were present during qualification, and they were present again during the finals, but the old stars were past their prime and the younger talent just wasn't good enough for this level.

Even so, who on the twin islands will ever forget their compatriots' heroic draw against Sweden?  This to me was one of my highlights of the World Cup.  To be forced to play the second-choice 'keeper just before kickoff, and then to be reduced to ten men for 44 minutes, and still defend the point tooth and nail is the stuff of legends.  Yorke earned his man-of-the-match efforts with his tireless work as a defensive - yes, defensive! - midfielder.  As always, stats don't mean that much in soccer, but I find the stat that places Yorke at the top of the list in terms of successful tackles made to be a remarkable statistic.  Unfortunately for Trinidad & Tobago, there were no other candidates to take up Yorke's old scoring prowess, and it placed even more pressure on the T&T defense.   Even so the islanders almost produced an even more shocking result against England before Beckham, Crouch, and Gerrard appeared in the final minutes.   T&T's lack of scoring punch caught up with them in the match against Paraguay, and despite some inspired efforts on the wings never looked like they would score. 

FIFA's website said that Trinidad and Tobago "showed great determination and resolve to make up for their inexperience and lack of resources", which is a testament to what Leo Beenhakker has inspired in this team since his took over last year.  The short- and mid-term challenge is to replace the Latapy/Yorke generation with players worthy of taking up their mantle.  But for the older players, this World Cup appearance will rank as their finest hours as professionals.

COSTA RICA

In Korea/Japan 2002, Costa Rica exited the tournament after group play but gave an honorable performance - including a thrilling match against Brazil.  In Germany the final result was the same, but the feeling was one of deep disappointment and frustration.

It is never easy to start the World Cup finals against the host, especially when that host is Germany.  But Costa Rica - to its credit - stayed faithful to attacking soccer, and Wanchope was going toe-to-toe with Klose.  However, the Ticos' defense was shown to be disorganized by the German attack and the Ecuadorians exploited the defensive frailities even more in their 3-0 win.  That second match was almost a polar opposite of the first one - Costa Rica looked totally out of their depth against Ecuador.  Rónald Gomez finally appeared against Poland, but two set-pieces meant a final defeat.  Guimaraes resigned his post shortly afterward; will he return?  I would not be surprised if he did, but this is a much more disappointing departure than last time.

Costa Rica do have the talent to compete with the top teams in the region and give surprises to unsuspecting sides from Europe and Asia.  But they need to speed up their slower-paced, ball-control style for the international stage.   The Ticos have a core of quality young talent, mostly from clubs like Saprissa and Alajuelense, that can develop into solid players on the international level.  But as Saprissa found out during the World Club Championship, the road to that level is very long.

July 03, 2006

CONCACAF at the World Cup: a post-mortem

It's been a week since Argentina eliminated the last of the CONCACAF teams, but the evaluation of the regional qualifiers' performances is well underway.  You can look at the websites of the major sports sites in English and Spanish, as well as the various soccer blogs.   In this post, and in the following posts over the next couple of days, I will look at the performance of the region as a whole and then consider the four representatives.

Overall, this has been a depressingly poor tournament by the CONCACAF sides.  There were flashes of good play and enthusiasm, but the overall performance was bland (in defense, Germany 2006 has been a bland tournament).  The record of CONCACAF in Germany - 13 matches played, won once (1), drawn three (3) , lost nine (9) - is an unforgiving one, the poorest record of the confederations, and it will raise more questions about the wisdom of offering 3.5 slots to the region.   As long as the World Cup finals remain a 32-team tournament, CONCACAF will be virtually guaranteed three places.   Even so, the fight for regional allocations for 2010 will be very closely watched.

European World Cup finals are always difficult on the non-European sides, and the outcome of the CONCACAF sides depends greatly on the luck of the draw.  The USA drew three difficult groups in their last three European finals (1990, 1998, 2006) and struggled mightily.  El Salvador in 1982 and Jamaica in 1998 received tough draws and got hammered by the major European and South American countries.   There were some teams that overachieved and performed honorably  - Honduras in 1982, Costa Rica in 1990, Mexico in 1998 - but
the fact remains that Europe is a difficult place to play.

I'll write more about the four finalists from CONCACAF in a future post.

June 12, 2006

A Brutal Day

That was a very long day for the Americans against a very good and very deep Czech Republic side.  I was only able to follow the game by text updates on my mobile phone, and I have yet to watch the game (I just returned from Orlando 10 minutes ago), but it seemed that Koller and Rosicky were turning the US defense inside out.  And the early goal by Koller ripped up any game plans that the US might have had. 

The Czech Republic is considered to be one of the top contenders for a reason, and there's no shame in losing to a team of this caliber.  However, there's another opponent looming that is just as good, and the US will sooner rather than later have to figure out how to beat a top European side.

I'll have more commentary after I watch the game on disc.   Any other comments on the match and the USA's chances are welcome.

June 11, 2006

The Day is Here

This is the day I've been waiting for since the Final Draw was announced. And on this day, I will be on the road from Orlando to Northwest Florida - I only hope that the tropical storm doesn't affect the internet connection on the BlackBerry! I am nervous but excited about USA - Czech Republic. It is going to be a difficult game for us, but it will also be a difficult game for the Czech Republic as well. Both sides have excellent managers and strategists of the game, both teams have excellent goalkeepers (Keller and Cech), and both teams are dangerous in the air (Czech Republic even more so with 6'8" Jan Koller). It's going to come down to whether the US defense, especially Onyewu, can contain the Czech attack and whether the American strikers can put away the few chances they will get to score. Much has been said about Donovan and his importance to the team in high-pressure situations, but I think that Convey has an excellent opportunity to make himself known on the world's biggest stage.

I think it's going to be a tight match, maybe no more than one or two goals between both teams. I'm not going to make a prediction, but I think you know who I want to win.

CONCACAF at the World Cup, Day 3

I am currently in Orlando for a personal trip, and I have had very little time to watch the games much less blog about them. Nevertheless, I have been able to see all of the matches involving CONCACAF teams except for Mexico's match against Iran. At this point I was expecting the region to have won one match and lost two, so the three matches so far have gone better than expected. Even in Costa Rica's loss, they made Germany work for their win, and not too many players can say that they scored twice against Germany in a World Cup (Geoff Hurst, and Ronaldo I think). The ticos will have to improve their defense quickly. Their positioning in their own third was awful.

Trinidad & Tobago's draw against Sweden, without a doubt, is the big surprise of the tournament. To get a point in their first match ever at the finals is an achievement; to do it playing 45 minutes with 10 men is amazing. Hislop continued his good year, and Yorke led from the front (or should I say, from the back). I continue to be impressed by how much T&T have grown in terms of organization and discipline since Beenhakker took over. The next game against England is going to be big, for obvious reasons, and the English are deeper and more dangerous up front than the Swedes.

I'm going to have to rely on press reports for the Mexico-Iran match, but it seems that Mexico got out to an early lead, Iran equalized but then proceeded to throw away their opportunity in the second half. In the end, it did take the final 15 minutes for Mexico to get the goals they needed. They should have a clear path to the second round, Angola is perhaps the weakest of the five African representatives.

June 09, 2006

Let the games begin!

I've been in San Francisco all this week for a conference so I haven't been able to post.  And the first match has just kicked off, so I'll be brief with my predictions for the first match.

  • Germany shouldn't have much trouble with Costa Rica.
  • Sweden is probably T&T's best chance for an upset.  Even so, not likely.
  • Iran will be more of a problem for Mexico than a lot of Mexicans think.
  • Czech Republic and USA could come down to aerial play - Koller vs. McBride.  I have too much invested to make a prediction.

Time to see who will get to lose to Brazil in the final.

And while I was writing this post, Germany scored the first goal.  It's going to be a long day for Costa Rica.

UPDATE (11:14am CST):  Ummmm, I'd like to amend that previous statement.   Game on !!

June 02, 2006

Bluffing

Some folks play checkers.  Others play chess.  Americans play poker

June 01, 2006

Have fun storming the castle

Usa_germany

Yesterday the USA national team left for Germany, and this morning (Germany time) they arrived in Hamburg.  Off to show the world that the quarterfinals in 2002 were not a one-off performance.  It would have taken a miracle for the USA to beat Italy and Czechoslovakia in 1990, but I like their chances a lot more this time around.

Good luck, boys, and don't hurry back.

May 29, 2006

Prendergast out of World Cup

Jamaican referee Peter Prendergast suffered a knee injury and will not be able to work at the World Cup finals.  My opinion on Mr. Prendergast is well known, and I did not agree with his selection for the finals, but I would rather that his exclusion not be because of injury.

The referees and their assistant referees work as a team, so the two Caribbean linesmen (Anthony Garwood of Jamaica, Joseph Taylor of T&T) are out of the World Cup as well.

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